Scientists Propose New Lockdown Strategy Amid Coronavirus Crisis

According to a new claim from scientists, one effective strategy for helping reduce COVID-19 deaths while helping make sure that the economy is still running is a 50-day period of strict lockdowns followed by 30 days where measures are then eased.

Scientists Claim New Strategy For Reducing COVID-19 Deaths

Back in Wednesday, a team made up of researchers from nine countries stimulated how different strategies would affect both the nation and the economy amid the coronavirus pandemic.

With over 5 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 globally (possibly more if you count the unconfirmed ones) and some 300,000 deaths worldwide, it’s important that a new strategy should be put in place in order to help stop further deaths and casualties. The problem, however, is prolonged lockdowns can be harmful to the economy and can make it hard for a nation to build itself up again after months of stagnation.

As such, a team of scientists and researchers recently suggested a new, alternative and more effective strategy in helping deal with the indefinite lockdowns and restrictions imposed by the coronavirus: the 50/30 method. Modeling the new strategy after several different scenarios on 16 countries, it consists of a strict lockdown period that will go on for 50 days, followed by a 30-day period where those measures will be eased. Following this, other measures such as contact tracing, isolation strategies and effective testing will still be observed.

Per the study, this strategy is likely to reduce the virus reproduction rate to 0.8 in all countries. There are other scenarios and strategies offered as well, although the most effective one is a continuous, three-month strategy of strict suppression measures since most countries can reduce their virus cases to near zero in this scenario. The relaxation period in this scenario can also help people regularly “breathe” during intervals.

“That might make this solution more sustainable, especially in resource-poor regions,” Rajiv Chowdhury, a global health epidemiologist at the University of Cambridge and the report’s lead author, said.

“There’s no simple answer to the question of which strategy to choose. Countries — particularly low-income countries — will have to weigh up the dilemma of preventing Covid-19 related deaths and public health system failure with the long-term economic collapse and hardship,” Oscar Franco, director of the Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine at the University of Bern in Switzerland, said.

COVID-19 lockdown A survey conducted in nearly 50 countries around the world showed that many employees would go to work even when sick or showing flu-like symptoms, particularly those in healthcare settings. Pixabay

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